Fundamental Analysis

Fri, 04 Oct 2024 12:33:15 GMT

Good US employment data moves markets

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the monthly employment statistics. In general, the data is a lot better than expected. The US Dollar index is reacting to the news by immediately spiking up more than 60 base points. The data release consists of three notable elements. Firstly, the Average Hourly Earnings Change that shows the monthly increase

Thu, 03 Oct 2024 14:15:02 GMT

ISM Services PMI boosts USD

The publication of the US Institute for Supply Management has published the Services sector Purchasing Managers Index survey results. In general, the sector is very optimistic, which is strengthening the value of the US Dollar. The survey results were expected to show a reading of 51.7 points, instead of the 54.9 points. The lot higher reading indicates that the sector

Tue, 01 Oct 2024 14:09:39 GMT

US surveys show mixed picture

At 14:00 GMT, the markets reacted to two US data survey results, the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the JOLTS Job Openings. The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing sector Purchasing Manager's Index was forecast to show a reading of 47.6, but actual data was a bit more pessimistic. The published survey results showed a reading of 47.2. The US Bureau of

Fri, 27 Sep 2024 12:59:20 GMT

US consumer inflation is below expected

The US Dollar is declining and with it, boosting asset prices, as Personal Consumption Expenditure Index has revealed that consumer inflation in the USA is below forecast. This in turn signals that the Federal Reserve can continue to ease its monetary policy. The index was expected to increase by 0.2% on a month-to-month basis, but the actual increase is just

Thu, 26 Sep 2024 08:31:05 GMT

SNB cuts interest rate

The Swiss National Bank has reduced its Policy Rate from 1.25% down to 1.00%. The rate cut was expected. Due to this reason, the Swiss Franc did not lose value. Moreover, algorithmic traders sold off the rate after the announcement. However, an hour after the rate reveal, the rate returned to trade near 0.8500.

Tue, 24 Sep 2024 16:37:08 GMT

CB Consumer Confidence causes minor move

The publication of the US Consumer Board Consumer Confidence index has caused a minor market reaction, despite the survey results showing a bleak picture. The survey results were forecast to show a positive future outlook with a reading of 103.9. However, actual survey results showed a reading of 98.7. The US Dollar index reacted to the news by declining just 28

Mon, 23 Sep 2024 16:36:27 GMT

Euro reacts to bad PMIs

During the morning hours of Monday, S&P Global published one by one the results of the Manufacturing and Services sector Purchasing Managers Indices for European Union countries. In general, the survey results are worse than the markets expected. The gradual data releases caused a 76 point or -0.68% decline of the Euro against the US Dollar. French Flash Manufacturing PMI

Fri, 20 Sep 2024 04:20:45 GMT

BoJ sees growing consumption

The Bank of Japan has kept its Policy Rate at 0.25%. Meanwhile, the central bankers have published their Monetary Policy Statement. In general, the bank has revealed that it has observed a moderate increase in consumption. The increasing consumption might eventually cause rising prices, which would then devalue the Yen. In this case scenario, the central bank would have to

Thu, 19 Sep 2024 16:03:43 GMT

Bank of England keeps rates intact

At 11:00 GMT, Bank of England in its Monetary Policy Committee has decided to keep interest rates unchanged. GBP is reacting to the upside. Also, the Committee voted to reduce government bond purchases, reducing purchases by 100 billion pounds over the next 12-month period. As forecasted, official Bank rate of GBP has not changed. It remains at 5 .00%. Predictable

Thu, 19 Sep 2024 05:13:38 GMT

Fed cuts rates more than expected

The United States Federal Reserve has cut interest rates more than the markets expected. The Fed has cut 0.50% instead of 0.25%. The larger than expected USD rate cut initially caused a USD decline, as the demand for USD to pay off loans is set to decrease. Afterwards, the Dollar recovered as soon as the press conference of the Chairman

Wed, 18 Sep 2024 06:09:35 GMT

UK CPI strengthens GBP

The United Kingdom's Office for National Statistics has published the country's monthly Consumer Price Index data. Annual inflation in the UK remains at 2.2%, which indicates that the Bank of England has to keep monetary policy tight. This fact caused an appreciation of the GBP. The target of the BoE for annual inflation is 2.0%. Inflation had been decreasing over

Tue, 17 Sep 2024 13:04:50 GMT

US Retail Sales impact market

The publication of the monthly US Retail Sales data has caused a market move. In general, Retail Sales have slightly increased not declined, which indicates that the US Fed can keep policy tighter for longer. The data release has caused a slight surge of the value of the US Dollar. The Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales which exclude auto

Thu, 12 Sep 2024 12:31:50 GMT

US producer prices are above expected

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the monthly Producer Price Index data sets. In general, the data revealed higher than expected price growth at the producer level. The US Dollar is reacting to the news by surging. Market consensus forecast was that the US Producer Price Index will increase on a month-to-month basis by 0.1%. Actual price growth

Thu, 12 Sep 2024 12:22:11 GMT

European Central Bank cuts interest rates

The European Central Bank has cut its Main Refinancing Rate, which is the base rate for all Euro debt. Namely, the rate is the base borrowing cost for the European currency. The rate has been reduced from 4.25% to 3.65%, as expected by market analysts. The Euro is reacting to the news by increasing volatility, but the rate remains at

Wed, 11 Sep 2024 12:33:02 GMT

US Consumer Price Index moves markets

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the US monthly inflation data, the Consumer Price Index. In general, the inflation data met market expectations. Markets are reacting to the news by buying the US Dollar in favour of other assets. The Consumer Price Index month on month change was forecast to show an increase of 0.2%. Actual released

Tue, 10 Sep 2024 06:17:14 GMT

UK employment reveals mixed data

The publication of the UK Unemployment Claimant Count Change number and the change of the Average Earnings index for the last three months have shown mixed data. Due to this reason, the rate increased volatility by initially moving up, but then suddenly retracing back down. The Claimant Count Change was expected to show 95,500 new unemployed people in the UK.

Fri, 06 Sep 2024 12:55:34 GMT

Unemployment rate comes out as forecasted

At 12:30 GMT, Bureau of Labor Statistics has published monthly unemployment rate. Reported Unemployment rate is at 4.2%, same as forecasted. Although unemployment came out as expected and by 0.1% lower than in previous month, market is still hesitant to confirm strength of the US economy and the US dollar. Forecasted Unemployment data has strong impact on US dollar price.

Thu, 05 Sep 2024 14:21:47 GMT

Service PMI data come in as forecasted

The Institute for Supply Management has published the United States Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index survey results on Services. The results are near the forecast, but still were enough to cause a surge of the US Dollar. The survey results were expected to show a reading of 51.3, but the actual number is slightly higher- 51.5. In general, a reading below

Thu, 05 Sep 2024 13:02:06 GMT

Non-Farm Employment lower than forecasted

At 12:15 GMT, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. reported monthly changes in employment, excluding farming industry. Current macroeconomic data suggests, that employee hiring process in having a slowdown. Forecasted number was 144 thousand, actual number came in lower-at 99 thousand. Non-Farm Employment change has an important role as a leading indicator for the US economy, consumer spending in the economy is

Wed, 04 Sep 2024 15:40:04 GMT

JOLTS causes USD move

The monthly publication of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey results have moved the financial markets via the US Dollar's value. Namely, the survey has revealed that there are 7.67 million available jobs in the United States. However, the markets expected the reading to show 8.09 million available jobs. Due to this reason, the

Wed, 04 Sep 2024 14:48:25 GMT

Bank of Canada cuts interest rates

At 13:45 GMT, Bank of Canada has decided that base interest rate will be decreased.BoC decision has created strong impulse to the CAD. Strong upside movement against the US dollar has been anticipated. Previous base interest rate was 4.50%, new interest rate is lower by 0.25 basis points, as forecasted- 4.25%. Most likely central planner intentions with this decision is

Tue, 03 Sep 2024 14:15:32 GMT

ISM Manufacturing PMI is as expected

The Institute for Supply Management has published the United States Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index survey results. The results are near the forecast, but still were enough to cause a surge of the US Dollar The survey results were expected to show a reading of 47.5, but the actual number is 47.2. In general, a reading below 50.0 is seen as

Tue, 03 Sep 2024 06:36:53 GMT

Swiss Franc moves due to inflation

The Swiss Federal Statistics Office has published the Swiss monthly inflation data. Inflation in Switzerland has stalled. The Swiss Franc is reacting to the news by declining. Instead of the expected Consumer Price Index increase of 0.1%, the actual data showed a 0.0% change. The lower inflation indicates that the Swiss National Bank can cut interest rates and reduce monetary

Fri, 30 Aug 2024 12:43:09 GMT

US PCE inflation meets forecast

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis has published the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures index data. In general, the release confirmed the market expectations and the Dollar remained flat. The data was forecast to show an increase of 0.2%. The forecast was correct. Month on month inflation is 0.2%.

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