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  • Midday Snapshot
    Midday Snapshot
    Mon, Nov 30, 12:58
    Trading has resumed this week so let’s see how market players have been working out rate movements for the 5 most popular currency pairs on this Monday. I`m Jessica Walker.
    Euro/Dollar has walked in a relatively narrow range of 32 pips, attracting a typical amount of funds. Neutral sentiment of the traders is close to a balance. Both sides have seen some chances, but they haven’t been significant as rate movement has been generally flat.
    Pound/Dollar declined by 53 pips after 7 o’clock and the pair stood point 21% in the red at noon. The Cable sees 23% less than typical funds and the neutral sentiment of the traders is just 3% short. Late decline has provided bears with profit chances, but the passive trading is the limiting factor.
    Dollar/Yen rose steeply and rise has resulted in a gain of point 19%. Market players have traded with 35% less than usual funds and most of them have been forecasting the rate to head higher. It did go per those forecasts and only the passive trading limits upside potential.
    Pound/Yen was back near the opening level at midday after walking in a total range of 53 pips and attracting less than half of the monthly average funds. Sentiment of the traders is strongly bullish, 46% long. Both the flat rate movement and passive trading suggest no major moves in funds are likely.
    Euro/Yen’s morning session has been relatively calm – rate movement is flat and traded volume is low. Market players have been mostly forecasting the rate to head lower. Gradual rise has brought some risks for investors, but rate movement has been generally flat and trading slow.
    This wraps up the Midday Snapshot for Monday. We`ll be updating these stats on an hourly basis, so stay tuned.
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  • Migrant Deal Agreed
    Press Review
    Mon, Nov 30, 11:44
    The EU have agreed to pay Turkey 3 billion euros in a bid to stem the flow of migrants into Europe, but in addition, what does Turkey want in return?
    Keywords: Turkey, EU, European Union, Syria, Migrant Crisis, EU Membership, Shengen, Banking Sector, Currencies, News, FX, Forex, Dukascopy TV, Press Review
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  • Tightening Regulations
    Mon, Nov 30, 10:58
    “Evolving landscape of e-commerce.” Scott Lane, 2CheckOut.
    Keywords: Ecomm21, E-commerce, E-Money, Services, Global Payment, Getaways, PayPal, Institutions, International Forum, Conference, Electronic Payment, Online, Internet, Banks, Traditional Banking, Digital Marketing, Processing, Risk Management, Settlements, 2CheckOut
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  • Spike Controller
    Spike Controller
    Mon, Nov 30, 10:52
    Trading has resumed in full swing on this Monday so let’s find out what have been the maximum spread levels for the 3 non-cross majors. I`m Sinead MacLaughlin bringing you this primary Spike Controller.
    Euro/Dollar’s spreads have averaged at point 31 pips so far this week, peaking at 1.2 pips.
    Daily volatility is 32 pips and it was posted as the rate moved South by point 3% to hit the low of 1 0563.
    Spreads have been calm as the maximum of just 1.2 pips took place yesterday at 11:09 PM GMT.
    Long term average spread is slightly above 1 pip for the Pound/Dollar. Maximum separation has been 2.6 pips.
    Pound/Dollar moved sharply down today, declining by point 33% or 50 pips.
    Spreads were slightly elevated yesterday at 11 PM GMT, but you shouldn’t have seen a gap bigger than 2.6 pips.
    And last up is the Dollar/Yen, which has long term average and maximum spreads of point 39 and 1.4 pips respectively.
    This pair rose sharply from the low of 122 69 and it has gained point 37% or 46 pips.
    Spreads have been relatively narrow so far this week as the max of only 1.4 pips took place yesterday at 11 PM GMT.
    That’s it for this hour. As usual, these stats will be updated on an hourly basis, so stay tuned.
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  • EU Tax Developments
    Mon, Nov 30, 10:44
    “I think it’s fair to say that any multi-national company with activities in Europe is affected by the state aid question”. Thierry Boitelle, Bonnard Lawson.
    Keywords: EU, Tax, Tax Laws, Reforms, Developments, European Union, EMU, European Monetary Union, Starbucks, Fiat, Apple, Amazon, Fines, Punishment, Tax Avoidance, Thierry Boitelle, Bonnard Lawson
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  • Trading Signals
    Trading Signals
    Mon, Nov 30, 09:54
    Hello, I'm Jessica Walker with the Primary Daily Trading Signals for Monday. Here's a closer look at the technical studies and how they compare with the interbank stance at 8 AM GMT.
    First up is the Euro/Dollar with 5 neutral indicators on its hourly chart. The mid-term scale is split between red and neutral models, and the daily chart is overwhelmingly bearish. Neutral at less than 4% short, the interbank confirms the 1-hour models.
    Pound/Dollar sees a mix of red and neutral models on its short-term scale. The mid and long-term charts turn red with 4 and 6 studies, respectively, but they are not quite in line with the interbank, which is neutral at less than 14% short.
    4 studies point North on Dollar/Yen's hourly chart, and the mid-term is split between neutral and green indicators. The long-term scale is mostly neutral. Bullish at more than 48% long, the interbank matches the 1-hour models.
    Neutral indicators prevail on Pound/Yen's 1 and 4-hour charts, but the 24-hour scale turns bearish with 4 models, and it is supported by the more than 20% short interbank stance.
    And things look similar for the Euro/Yen, as it also is mostly neutral in the short and mid-term. The long-term chart brings 6 red models, and it is backed up by the more than 67% short interbank.
    You've been watching the Primary Daily Trading Signals for Monday. Check back in throughout the day for the latest updates.
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  • Support and Resistance
    Support and Resistance
    Mon, Nov 30, 08:04
    It' s a new trading week, and the Dukascopy TV team is back with another Support and Resistance Level Report. I'm Louise McCauley with a closer look at how our in-house model tests out today.
    Euro/Dollar saw a drop on Friday, and it has since stood between R1 of 1 0610 and S1 of 1 0570.
    R1 is the most confirmed resistance line with 12 models, and R2 is a 20 day moving average with 3 matches. The highest resistance line sees a single confirmation. S1 counts Price Channel Indicator Lower Line among its 5 models, and S3 is a 4 year low with 4 confirmations. S2 is supported by a psychological level, Bollinger Lower Band and another study.
    The Cable is down as well, and it currently stands below R1 of 1 5050 and above S1 of 1 4990.
    Standing at a 3 month low, R2 sees 10 confirmations, and a 20 day moving average is among the 7 studies for R3. The lowest resistance line has found 3 matches. S1 is confirmed by a psychological level, Bollinger Lower Band and 3 other studies. S3 is a 4 year low with 3 confirmations, and the second support line has found a single match.
    Dollar/Yen is trading in the range limited by R1 of 122 90 and S1 of 122 60.
    R1 leads in resistance with 11 studies, and R2 is Price Channel Indicator Upper Line with 2 matches. The highest resistance line sees a single confirmation. Standing at a 20 day moving average, S1 is well supported with 12 models. S3 is backed up by a 50 day moving average, Bollinger Lower Band and another study, and S2 is a 150 day moving average with 2 matches.
    And Dollar/Swiss Franc has moved even higher, as it now has R1 of 1 0330 and S1 of 1 0290.
    R1 counts Price Channel Indicator Upper Line among its 4 models. R2 is a psychological level with 2 matches, and the highest resistance line sees a single confirmation. S2 leads in support with 10 studies, and S1 is a 4 year high with 5 models. A 20 day moving average is among the 2 matches for S3.
    You've been watching the Support and Resistance Level Report for Monday. Check back in tomorrow for the next overview of the key price levels. Goodbye.
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  • Economic Calendar
    Economic Calendar
    Mon, Nov 30, 06:00
    Monday is a busy start of a busy week, so let's see which news releases stand out. I'm Louise McCauley with the Economic Calendar.
    So the schedule starts early on 11:50 the previous evening with two news releases regarding the Japanese economy in October. One of them is the Preliminary Retail Sales, which came in much weaker than anticipated in September, partially reversing a point 8% gain the previous month.
    Preliminary Industrial Production comes at the same time. Now, these figures surprised on the upside in September as output rebounded from a 1.2% drop in August.
    New Zealand Business Confidence for November is out at midnight. The Index saw a strong improvement in October, having spent the last 4 months below zero.
    Australian Private Sector Credit for October is released half an hour later. The loan portfolio continued to expand in September as both housing and personal credit went up.
    Japanese Housing Starts for October are scheduled at 5 AM. September results missed estimates by a wide margin as growth decelerated from 8.8% a month ago.
    Swiss KOF Economic Barometer for November will be available at 8. The Index dropped by half a point in October, but it remains close to its long-term average.
    UK Mortgage Approvals for October follow at 9:30. The number of approvals slipped in September, having grown for the past 3 months.
    Coming up next at 1 PM GMT is the closely watched German Preliminary CPI for November. The annual inflation inched slightly higher in October but falling energy prices remain the main drag.
    US Pending Home Sales for October are out at 3. Sales have been declining for the past two months and now stand at their lowest level in 9 months.
    The news flow gets light until half past 10 in the evening when the Australian Performance of Manufacturing Index for November is released. The Index lost 1.9 points in October but it still indicates a slight expansion in the manufacturing sector.
    Australian Building Approvals for October will be available at half past midnight. Approvals grew more than anticipated in September, but not enough to reverse the 9.5% drop in August.
    And a closely watched event for the Aussie Dollar traders concludes the schedule at 3:30, when the Reserve Bank of Australia will release its latest Monetary Policy Statement. The interest rate has stood unchanged for 7 months, so there have been speculations a rate cut could be in the works.
    So these are the news releases to watch on Monday, the 30th of November. Check back in for the next overview of news publications for Tuesday. Goodbye.
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  • Euro Area Bout Too Big?
    Phone Interview
    Fri, Nov 27, 16:31
    Euro Area data may pose problems, but is Turkey in a tighter position? Christopher Shiells, Informa Global Markets
    Keywords: ECB, Euro Area, Statement, Resilience, Market Volatility, Euro, Spanish Inflation, French Unemployment, U.S., GDP, Economic Recovery, Turkey, Russia, Sanctions, Lira, Russian Jet, Turkey's Central Bank
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  • Community Stars Nr.98
    Community Contests
    Fri, Nov 27, 16:13
    The winner of Miss Dukascopy 2015 is here!
    Keywords: Miss Dukascopy, Polina Tsegalko, 2015, Winner, Belarus, Tasks, Geneva, Trip, Competition, Technical Analysis, Trader Of The Year, Predictions, PLN, USD, Award, Trading, Community Stars
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  • Movers and Shakers
    Movers and Shakers
    Fri, Nov 27, 15:53
    Hello, I'm Jessica Walker and here's what has been moving and shaking in the currency markets on this last day of the trading week.
    New Zealand/Dollar started moving sharply down after 6 o’clock in the morning and the pair has lost point 7%, which is the day’s biggest move.
    The US stock indexes are still looking for direction and Greenback tops the advancers and decliners table, trailed closely by the Yen as overnight Japanese Core inflation stepped out of the negative territory.
    German GFK Consumer Climate declined slightly less than expected and Single currency is mostly higher ahead of ECB’s meeting coming up next week.
    UK GDP growth was unchanged at point 5% and Sterling is followed by a couple of commodity currencies – Australian and Canadian Dollars.
    Swiss Franc is trading lower and it’s close to level with the New Zealand Dollar, which wraps up the advancers and decliners table.
    Moving on to longer term charts, Dollar/Swissie leads the weekly advancers table with an increase of 1.52%. Swissie/Yen is the top decliner and it’s down by 1.55%.
    Australia/Swissie has gained the most over a month and it’s 5.75% in the green. Euro/Australia leads the bearish chart with a slide of 5.33%.
    And that concludes the Movers and Shakers report for Friday. Check back in on Monday for the next report, but for now, have a great weekend and goodbye.
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  • EUR/SEK to Grind Lower
    Fri, Nov 27, 15:41
    A look ahead with projections for the EUR/SEK. Peter Frank, BBVA
    Keywords: Euro, Swedish Krona, SEK, ECB, Riksbank, Mario Draghi, Economic Sentiment, Outlook, Currency Projections, Forecasts
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  • USD High Yield Debt at risk?
    Fri, Nov 27, 15:23
    Long-term T/A on USD high yield debt. Nils Baranger, ChartGuidance.
    Keywords: Market, Timing, Financial, Forecast, Technical, Analysis, Chart, Trend, Trading, USD, High, Yield, Debt, IBLUS, IBoxx, HY, Index, ChartGuidance, Nils, Baranger, Dukascopy, TV, Geneva, Interview, Show.
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  • Swiss Regulatory Changes
    Fri, Nov 27, 14:22
    “What is coming is very important”. Glen Millar, Asset Manager Audit & Compliance SA
    Keywords: Asset Management, Assets, Switzerland, Regulatory Changes, Swiss, Banks, EU, Europe, Finance, Economic News, Glen Millar, ASMA, Dukascopy TV, Interview
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  • Black Friday Under Way
    Press Review
    Fri, Nov 27, 13:53
    Black Friday consumers targeting the best deals begin their shopping following Thanksgiving.
    Keywords: Black Friday, Finance, Consumers, Shopping, US, Retailers, Retail Market, E-Commerce, Adobe Digital Index, Thanksgiving, Amazon, Online Shopping, Macy's, National Retail Federation, NRF, US Dollar, USD, Sarah Quinlan, MasterCard Advisors, Press Review, Dukascopy TV
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  • Midday Snapshot
    Midday Snapshot
    Fri, Nov 27, 13:03
    Hello. As trading continues this Friday so does our coverage of the markets. Sam Meredith in the Dukascopy TV Center with the latest Midday Snapshot broadcast.
    Euro/Dollar’s gradual rise was followed by a drop and the rate stood point 25% in the red at noon. Traded volume is average and the neutral sentiment of the traders is close to a balance. Early hours provided some chances for bulls, but the following slide was good news for bears.
    Pound/Dollar moved sharply South after 8 o’clock and a loss of point 37% was recorded at midday. The Cable sees a typical amount of funds and the neutral sentiment is 7% long. Late decline suggests a successful morning session is more likely for those who had short positions.
    Dollar/Yen’s trend changed after the low of 122 31 was reached and the rate was back near the opening level after 12 hours of trading. Traded volume is average and most of the traders have been forecasting the rate to head higher. Trading should be successful if it was done after the daily low was reached.
    Pound/Yen has been trending lower and it was point 4% down from midnight’s level at noon. This pair has attracted an average amount of funds and sentiment of the traders is strongly bullish. Rate has been mostly moving lower, making loses more likely for investors.
    Euro/Yen declined by 49 pips hours into the trading day and traders have used less than half of the monthly average funds trading this pair. Sentiment of the traders is strongly bullish, long positions dominate by 50%. Late decline has brought risks for investors, but losses should be limited by the passive trading.
    That’s where Forex market players stand at this hour. You can continue tracking their performance through the hourly updates. Goodbye.
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  • Iran’s Implementation Day
    Fri, Nov 27, 12:40
    There are several challenges facing Iran as well as the region as the country looks to double its oil production. Dr Nicolas Guerrero, Managing Director of International Affairs Consulting.
    Keywords: Iran, Sanctions, United Nations, UN, Oil, Gas, Finance, Economy, Middle East, Saudi Arabia, Commodity, Oil Prices, Foreign Trade, US, Obama, Institute Of International Finance, IIF, Nicolas Guerrero, International Affairs Consulting, Dukascopy TV, Interview
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  • Environmental Entrepreneurship
    Fri, Nov 27, 12:31
    How can small and medium enterprises reach the next level in 2016? Brindusa Fidanza, CEO, The Ground Up Project.
    Keywords: Environment, Environmental Entrepreneurship, SME, Small Enterprises, Medium Enterprises, Finance, Investors, Environmental Sector, Environment Industry, Charity, The Ground Up Project, Brindusa Fidanza, Dukascopy TV, Interview
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  • Spike Controller
    Spike Controller
    Fri, Nov 27, 11:08
    The trading week is coming to an end, but don't let your guard down and keep checking your broker's price feed with the Main Spike Controller. I'm Jessica Walker.
    Euro/Dollar’s long term average and maximum spreads are point 29 and 1.1 pips respectively.
    Rate movement has been mostly flat for this pair and the biggest move has been a decline of point 51% or 54 pips.
    Last 24 hours have been calm for the spreads as the peak of only 1.1 pips took place yesterday at 11 PM GMT.
    The Cable has a daily average spread of 1.14 pips and maximum separation of 3.8 pips took place during the last hour.
    The high of 1 5128 was reached yesterday, but the rate has since declined by point 63% or 95 pips.
    Second estimate of the UK GDP was out just a half an hour ago and that’s the time of the peak daily spread.
    Both of the sides were separated for a number of ticks, but 3.8 pips is the biggest separation you should have seen.
    Last up is the Dollar/Yen, which has a long term average spread of point 43 pips. Max separation has been 1.2 pips.
    The rate declined by point 34% or 42 pips today, but it has rebounded from the low of 122 31.
    No major spikes have been recorded during the last 24 hours and the max of just 1.2 pips took place yesterday at 6:44 PM GMT.
    You've been watching the Main Spike Controller for Friday. Stay tuned throughout the day for the hourly updates of these stats.
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  • eCom21. Riga International Forum
    Fri, Nov 27, 11:05
    Join the DukascopyTV team at the Ecom21 Riga International Forum, discussing everything from e-money services, global payment getaways and e-money institutions with well-recognized figures within the e Commerce industry.
    Keywords: Ecomm21, E-commerce, E-Money, Services, Global Payment, Getaways, PayPal, Institutions, International Forum, Conference, Bitcoin, P2P, Electronic Payment, Online, Internet, Banks, Traditional Banking, Digital Marketing, Processing, Risk Management, Settlements, Alvaldi, EcommPay, 2CheckOut, I-Fact Services Limited
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