Fundamental Analysis

Thu, 29 Aug 2024 12:36:23 GMT

US GDP is above expected

The United States statisticians have just released the Preliminary quarterly GDP and weekly Unemployment Claims. The GDP was forecast to show an increase of 2.8%. Actual number is 3.0%. The Unemployment Claims were expected to show 232,000 claims. The forecast was almost exact, as 231,000 people have claimed unemployment benefits. The US Dollar initially reacted to the news with a minor

Thu, 29 Aug 2024 08:15:22 GMT

Spanish CPI causes major EUR move

On Thursday morning, a previously not noted macroeconomic data release caused a major Euro decline. The publication of the Spanish Flash CPI revealed information that inflation in the Euro Zone might be far below what was previously assumed. The Spanish Flash CPI was expected to show a stunning decline of inflation, down to 2.4% from the previous 2.8%. The actual

Thu, 22 Aug 2024 08:38:52 GMT

GBP gets a boost from PMIs

At 08:30 GMT, S&P Global published its Purchasing Managers Indices for the United Kingdom. The survey results were better than expected, which caused a surge of the Pound against peer currencies. A PMI is a diffusion index derived from a survey. In general, a reading below 50 is seen as bad. A reading above 50 is seen as good for

Thu, 22 Aug 2024 08:28:42 GMT

Euro moved due to PMIs

During Thursday's morning hours, S&P Global published its Purchasing Managers Indices for the European countries. These data sets moved the Euro by revealing how the services and manufacturing sectors are doing in the eurozone. A PMI is a diffusion index derived from a survey. In general, a reading below 50 is seen as bad. A reading above 50 is seen

Wed, 21 Aug 2024 18:25:41 GMT

Fed Meeting Minutes accelerate USD decline

The publication of the Federal Reserve Federal Open Markets Committee Meeting Minutes at 18:00 GMT on Wednesday added more energy to the ongoing decline of the US Dollar. The minutes revealed new information about how the prior Federal Reserve rate decision was made and what some members of the committee spoke about the future. Main points taken by the

Thu, 15 Aug 2024 17:49:16 GMT

US Retail Sales cause major market move

On Thursday, at 12:30 GMT, the US monthly Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales data caused a major market move. The released data was much higher than expected, which boosted the value of the US Dollar by as much as 0.65% during the 45 minutes after the release. The Retail Sales were expected to show an increase of 0.4%. Actual

Wed, 14 Aug 2024 12:33:41 GMT

Lower US CPI does not convince markets

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the Consumer Price Index data sets. In general, inflation is below market forecasts. Although, the US Dollar reacted to the news by surging. The CPI and Core CPI were expected to have increased by 0.2% on a monthly basis. Meanwhile, the year-on-year reading was forecast to show price increases of 3.00%.

Tue, 13 Aug 2024 12:38:23 GMT

US producer inflation is below forecasts

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics has just published the monthly Producer Price Index data. In general, the data has revealed below expected inflation. The US Dollar is reacting to the news by declining. PPI showed a reading of 0.1% instead of expected 0.2%. The Core PPI showed 0.00% change instead of forecast growth of 0.2%. This data release consisted

Thu, 08 Aug 2024 12:34:47 GMT

US releases weekly Unemployment Claims

The US statisticians have published the weekly Unemployment Claims numbers. Released numbers are below market expectations, which is causing a recovery of the US Dollar and the US stock markets. Consensus forecast was that the Unemployment Claims would come in at 241,000 new people claiming unemployment insurance during the week. The actual number is 233,000, which is seen as positive. The

Fri, 02 Aug 2024 12:41:14 GMT

US employment causes major USD drop

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the monthly employment data. Released data has shown a major increase in unemployment. The US Dollar index is reacting to the news by sharply declining below the 104.00 mark. Average Hourly Earnings were forecast to show a monthly increase of 0.3%. The actual income change is just 0.2%. Non-Farm Employment Change was expected to

Thu, 01 Aug 2024 11:07:23 GMT

Bank of England cuts rate

The Bank of England has reduced its Official Bank Rate from 5.25% down to 5.00%. This rate cut was expected by the market analyst consensus forecasts. The GBP is reacting to the rate cut with a decline. However, since the cut was already expected, the Pound already declined during the morning hours, a since 06:00 GMT it had dropped

Thu, 01 Aug 2024 10:30:15 GMT

Federal Reserve waits for more data

On Wednesday, at 18:00 GMT, the US Federal Reserve kept its base interest rate at 5.50%. The initial announcement caused a minor strengthening of the value of the US Dollar. The rate announcement was followed by the press conference of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, at 18:30 GMT. In general, the head of the Fed revealed

Wed, 31 Jul 2024 11:03:21 GMT

Bank of Japan raises interest rates

As the US Federal Reserve considers decreasing rates, the Bank of England being set to cut this week and the European Central Bank already have cut rates, the Bank of Japan faces a different situation and has raised base interests rates. The event has caused a move of the USD/JPY rate to the 150.00 mark. The Japanese Central Bank has

Tue, 30 Jul 2024 14:12:15 GMT

US data has minor impact

The Consumer Board Consumer Confidence index and the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey Job Openings number have been released at 14:00 GMT. The released numbers did not make a significant impact on the financial markets, despite being considered high importance. The CB Consumer Confidence was forecast to show a pessimistic reading of 99.7. The released survey result is

Fri, 26 Jul 2024 12:49:48 GMT

Core PCE inflation increases 0.2%

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis has published the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Index. This index reveals inflation at the consumer level. Prices have increased by 0.2%, as expected by market analysts. The US Dollar is reacting to the news by increasing its volatility without a clear direction. In the current market environment inflation remains the top macroeconomic aspect to watch.

Thu, 25 Jul 2024 12:52:23 GMT

US GDP surprises markets

Market consensus forecast was that the quarterly US Advance GDP will show 2.0% growth. Actual released number is a stunning 2.8%. Initially the news caused an upward move of US stocks and the US Dollar. However, the Bureau of Economic downgraded the previous reading from 1.6% down to 1.4%, which initiated a reversal of the initial spike up of the

Wed, 24 Jul 2024 13:55:51 GMT

Bank of Canada cuts interest rates

At 13:45 GMT, Bank of Canada lowers interest as it was forecasted, by 0.25 basis points. Current interest rate defined by Bank of Canada's monetary policy is 4.50 %. Canadian Dollar is reacting to the downside. Lower rates are better for the consumer looking forward.

Wed, 24 Jul 2024 09:58:06 GMT

European PMIs reveal grim expectations

During the early hours of July 24, S&P Global released the results of the Purchasing Managers Index survey results. In general, the survey has disappointed the markets, as almost all readings are below expectations. The PMI publication consisted of six notable readings. For each country, S&P Global publishes two survey results. One fore the services sector and one for the

Mon, 22 Jul 2024 09:31:51 GMT

China cuts interest rates

The People's Bank of China has cut its market operations rate and the benchmark bank lending rates. This rate reduction was a surprise, as market consensus was that China would not cut rates. However, the reduction has come after the Chinese government reported lower than expected second quarter economic data and the meeting of the Communist Party leadership. The event caused

Tue, 16 Jul 2024 12:41:44 GMT

Retail Sales above expectations

At 12:30 GMT, Census Bureau, revealed its monthly retail sales data. The USD reacted by surging. Retail sales Month-on-Month forecast was -0.3%, actual number is above number which is 0.0% Core retail sales Month-on-Month expected number was 0.1%, actual number is 0.4%. The US Federal Reserve is monitoring macroeconomic data in to decide whether to cut rates or not. Lower Retail

Fri, 05 Jul 2024 12:39:21 GMT

US releases mixed employment data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has just released the US monthly employment data. In general, the data shows a mixed job environment. The US Dollar is reacting to the news by an initial spike up and then starting a decline. Average Hourly Earnings were expected to increase by 0.3% on a month on month basis. The actual number is

Wed, 03 Jul 2024 14:51:51 GMT

String of US data beats down the USD

Throughout Wednesday's trading, the US Dollar has been declining due to a string of worse than forecast or at forecast data. At 12:15 GMT, the US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change revealed that ADP has calculated 150,000 new jobs created in the US over the last month instead of the market expected 163,000. This started a decline, which by 14:00

Mon, 01 Jul 2024 14:06:25 GMT

US ISM Manufacturing PMI is worse than expected

The United States Institute for Supply Management has published its Purchasing Managers Index survey results. Results are worse than expected, which is causing a decline of the US Dollar. Markets expected the results to show a reading of 49.2 that would indicate a decline in the sector. A reading above 50 indicates growth, but a reading below 50 shows decreasing

Fri, 07 Jun 2024 12:57:51 GMT

US employment data shakes the markets

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the monthly US employment data sets. Employment situation in the United States is much better than expected. US Dollar reacted to the news by jumping, as the Dollar index immediately moved from 104.05 up to 104.60. Average hourly earnings were expected to increase by 0.3% on a month to month basis. Actual

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