USD/SGD 4H Chart: Two scenarios likely

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Indicator4H1D1W
MACD(12;26;9)SellSellSell
RSI(14)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Stochastic(5;3;3)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Alligator(13;8;5)NeutralSellSell
SAR(0.02;0.2)BuySellSell
Aggregate

Since the end of September, the USD/SGD currency pair has been trading downwards within a falling wedge pattern.  

From a theoretical point of view, it is likely that the exchange rate could decline within the predetermined pattern within the following trading sessions. Then, a breakout north could occur, and the rate could re-test the resistance level—the Fibo 50.00% at 1.3803. 

In the meantime, note that the currency pair is pressured by the 55-, 100– and 200-period moving averages in the 1.3600 area. Thus, some downside potential could continue to prevail in the market in the medium term.

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