USD/CNH 4H Chart: Two scenarios likely

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Indicator4H1D1W
MACD(12;26;9)SellSellSell
RSI(14)NeutralNeutralBuy
Stochastic(5;3;3)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Alligator(13;8;5)SellSellSell
SAR(0.02;0.2)BuySellSell
Aggregate

Since the middle of September, the USD/CNH currency pair has been declining within a falling wedge pattern.  

From a theoretical point of view, it is likely that the exchange rate could breach the given pattern north within the following trading sessions. In this case the rate could re-test the resistance level—the Fibo 38.20% at 6.8333. 

Meanwhile, note that the currency pair is pressured by the 55-, 100– and 200-period SMAs in the 6.7500/6.8030 area. Thus, some downside potential could prevail in the market.

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