Technical Analysis

Mon, 12 Nov 2012 16:25:57 GMT

NZD/USD bounces from 100-day SMA

Pair is preparing for a major rally as we saw a 40 pip move after a push from 100-day SMA. However, nearest obstacle at 0.8193/99 might be rather significant as there is a high probability that majority of pending sell orders are exactly at those levels suggesting that pairs rally might be not flawless.

Mon, 12 Nov 2012 16:25:46 GMT

USD/CAD at parity condition

 Pair once again is trying the strength of resistance at parity condition, but market is not willing to give up this level easily. Beside being a major level we can see that we have 200-day SMA there as well which makes predictions even more complicated. Short term technical indicators suggest that pair will remain turbulent around current level, but medium

Mon, 12 Nov 2012 16:25:36 GMT

AUD/USD opens week with a bullish rally

After a choppy previous week, pair started this one with a rally after receiving an impetus from 100-day SMA. Although medium and long term indicators give neutral outlook it is likely we will see a short term rally, as quite a few pending orders point at strong resistance in higher levels. It is likely that most of there orders are

Mon, 12 Nov 2012 16:25:19 GMT

EUR/JPY at 101 JPY mark

After a bearish dip last week, pair started week very slowly-it has been in 40 pip range (bounded by 200-day SMA and Bollinger band). It is very likely that air has reached oversold condition (indicated by Stochastic indicator) and we might see a bullish rally in the nearest future. In any case, everything depends how strong will be the support

Mon, 12 Nov 2012 09:08:29 GMT

USD/CHF steps lower, from 0.9483 Dukascopy

As the last few weeks were strongly bullish and USD/CHF pair appreciated by almost 300 pips pushing the RSI value to the level of 69. Therefore, some correction would be very likely soon, at least bringing the price back to the 200-SMA level at 0.9454 to retest its strength. Further resistance level should be 0.9507/25, where the 100-day SMA and

Mon, 12 Nov 2012 08:56:34 GMT

USD/JPY is bounded by the 200-day SMA

USD/JPY pair's downside movement is bounded by the 200-day SMA. Despite the fact that the price has broken through this level a few times in the last days, the price still came back and closed around it. Therefore, the 200-day SMA level is really important and settlement below it would mean a sharp price drop. Further support levels remain at

Mon, 12 Nov 2012 08:45:33 GMT

GBP/USD steps sharply lower

The candle pattern did not work out on Friday trading session and the price decreased till the 1.5890 level, where only the lower Bollinger line can be found. As the price is constantly decreasing since 2nd of November, it is possible to see a small correction till the 100-day SMA and after that further price appreciation, at least till the

Mon, 12 Nov 2012 08:35:04 GMT

EUR/USD slips further

Depreciation of EUR/USD pair was too powerful to be stopped above the 200-day SMA at 1.2740. On Friday session, the price had increased, but after that retreated even lower with a bottom at 1.2689. Currently, the price steps higher and if the 200-day SMA forms a sufficient resistance to keep the price beneath it, there is very possible to see

Fri, 09 Nov 2012 20:46:24 GMT

XAU/USD experiences slight bearish reaction

The interim uptrend, which started a week ago, has failed to continue, as today the XAU/USD exchange rate experienced a slight bearish reaction, and at the particular moment the price is slowly moving towards the 20-day SMA at 1712, which will probably stop the current downtrend, however, if it is breached, then the exchange rate might drop until the weekly

Fri, 09 Nov 2012 20:35:30 GMT

GBP/JPY confronts lower Bollinger band

The bearish tendency, which started two days ago, has successfully managed to continue, as today GBP/JPY experienced another significant bearish movement, and now the currency couple confronts the lower Bollinger band at 125.98, which is very likely to reverse the prevailing tendency, however, if it fails to slow down the downtrend, then the price might reach the weekly S3 at

Fri, 09 Nov 2012 20:25:25 GMT

EUR/CAD bounces off 200-day SMA

The interim uptrend, which started a couple of days ago, has failed to continue, as the EUR/CAD currency pair bounced off the 200-day SMA, and at the particular moment the currency couple is gradually heading towards the monthly S1 at 1.2685, which will probably slow down the downtrend. In case it fails to stop the current tendency, then the price

Fri, 09 Nov 2012 20:14:24 GMT

EUR/AUD slowly approaching lower Bollinger band

Today the EUR/AUD currency couple experienced another consequent movement downwards, therefore supporting the downtrend, which started more than a week ago. As for now the currency pair is slowly approaching the lower Bollinger band at 1.2159, which is expected to stop the prevailing tendency. In case it is broken, then the price might reach the monthly S2 at 1.2104, which

Fri, 09 Nov 2012 16:30:29 GMT

NZD/USD supported by 0.8132

After few amazingly bearish day pair managed to pick up after receiving bullish impetus from weekly pivot (S2) at 0.8132. Although recovery of the pair was rather strong, but it is much more likely pair will be driven by market sentiment and new trading week will start with an attempt to fall below Bollinger band.

Fri, 09 Nov 2012 16:30:20 GMT

USD/CAD attempting to breach parity condition

After unsuccessful attempt last week, pair is attempting to reach new high and finally breach parity condition. However, as technical indicators suggest, new week should start with a major dip, but with the help of 20-day SMA, pair should remain above 0.995.

Fri, 09 Nov 2012 16:30:12 GMT

AUD/USD is becoming volatile

Pair has been demonstrating very choppy sessions almost for a full week. Not an exception is this day as pair has been very volatile and was contained only by 20 bar SMA in lower end and by Bollinger band in higher end. Due to neutrality in majority of indicators it is likely we will see similar sessions in the new

Fri, 09 Nov 2012 16:30:04 GMT

EUR/JPY stable at 101 JPY

Pair has been depreciating for almost whole week. We should see some recovery in the new trading week, but it is very hard to predict pairs development after that as technical indicators are giving rather neutral outlook. However, a dip below 100 JPY level seems impossible.

Fri, 09 Nov 2012 15:20:28 GMT

USD/JPY settles beneath the 80.00 level

Yesterday's trading session in USD/JPY pair started at 80.00, there was a few swings below the level with tops very close to a 80.00 level benchmark. However, the final movement was a rapid decrease till the 79.36 level, where the 200-day SMA goes. This area provided a sufficient support power to stop a depreciation, therefore the price is currently increasing.

Fri, 09 Nov 2012 09:42:24 GMT

USD/CHF approaches the 200-day SMA at 0.9448

Yesterday USD/JPY pair stepped even higher topping a new peak, but closed slightly lower at 0.9464, where historical support/resistance levels converge. Today the price shows negative performance, but the trouble for a further decrease stays the 200-day SMA at 0.9450. If the price passes this level, a depreciation will increase its momentum. In this case, possible support levels will be

Fri, 09 Nov 2012 09:20:24 GMT

GBP/USD increases after a Doji candlestick pattern Dukascopy

Yesterday GBP/USD pair formed a Long Legged Doji candle, which has no body just long shadows on both side. This type of candlestick pattern tempts about a balance of strong opposite forces and a possible trend's reversal. Today we can see the price appreciation, which is likely to turn in a more sustainable uptrend. Resistance level might be considered as

Fri, 09 Nov 2012 09:09:27 GMT

EUR/USD rebounded from the 200-day SMA

Yesterday EUR/USD stepped lower than the previous day's bottom, but in the end of the U.S. trading session retreated and finished a day closing at the 200-day SMA line at 1.2740. Today the price increases and approaches the weekly S1 level at 1.2752. As we had the RSI value of 32 yesterday, it is very likely to see positive correction

Thu, 08 Nov 2012 20:42:22 GMT

XAU/USD keeps bullish outlook

The bullish tendency, which started less than a week ago, has successfully managed to continue, as today the XAU/USD exchange rate experienced another consequent movement upwards, and now the price is slowly approaching the monthly PP at 1738, which might bring some bearish momentum. In case it fails to slow down the rally, then the exchange rate is very likely

Thu, 08 Nov 2012 20:31:24 GMT

GBP/JPY experiences slight movement downwards

The bearish trend, which started yesterday, has successfully managed to continue, as today the GBP/JPY currency pair experienced a slight bearish reaction, and at the particular moment the currency couple is gradually heading towards the weekly S1 at 127.45, which is expected to slow down the downtrend. In case it is breached, then the currency pair might reach the 55-day

Thu, 08 Nov 2012 16:52:12 GMT

NZD/USD approaches 0.8139/25 from above

"Combined with the previously reported low inflation print for Q3, the RBNZ may consider further cuts to the already low cash rate and NZD intervention may also be a consideration"- HSBC (based on Reuters)Pair's OutlookYesterday NZD/USD demonstrated untypical for itself volatility by plummeting 78 pips. Moreover, today the dip is being extended as well, since none of the nearest supports

Thu, 08 Nov 2012 16:52:01 GMT

USD/CAD soars from 0.9917/05

Trading range of USD/CAD gradually widens, while the pair establishes a bullish tendency it is likely to adhere to in the long-term. Nonetheless, this scenario is not viable as long as the 200-day weighs upon the price and impedes growth. Consequently, we need a strong sustainable rally above 1.0001/10 to be sure in positive outlook, but until then a struggle

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