USD/JPY supported by 200-hour SMA

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Positions Today Yesterday % Change
Longs 74% 71% 4.05%
Shorts 26% 29% -11.54%
Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Sell
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Buy Sell Neutral
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Sell Sell
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Sell
Aggregate

Despite several attempts to edge lower on Wednesday, the movement of the US Dollar was guided by the 200-hour SMA. As apparent on the chart, the pair has still not reached the upper boundary of a two-month channel down. This is expected to occur today. 

A possible test of this line is also supported by the fact that the nearest southern barrier is provided by the 200– and 55-hour SMAs and the monthly S1 which are restricting the pair's movement below the 107.20 mark. This might put upward pressure on the rate just to allow for a test of the senior channel. 

Technical indicators are in favour of subsequent bearish pressure that should dominate the market today. Thus, the test of 108.00 could be followed by a decline in price. This, in turn, might mark the beginning of a new wave down during next week.

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