AUD/USD driven by upside risks

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Positions Today Yesterday % Change
Longs 56% 57% -1.79%
Shorts 44% 43% 2.27%
Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Sell
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Neutral Buy
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Neutral Sell Sell
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Sell Sell
Aggregate

The Australian Dollar remained relatively unchanged against the US Dollar on Monday, as it was fluctuating between the 55– and 100-hour SMAs.

This lack of momentum changed significantly on Tuesday morning when strong upside risks pushed the rate up to the 0.7580 mark. 

The most likely scenario would be a bearish reversal from this area. However, given that the 200-hour SMA and the weekly PP is providing strong support circa 0.7560, the Aussie might fail to collect enough momentum to push below both lines. 

As a result, the rate could move towards the upper channel boundary, the monthly PP and the weekly R1 near 0.7610. Meanwhile, the RBA Governor Lowe is set to speak at 2215GMT.

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