EUR/NZD 1H Chart: Falling Wedge

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Buy Buy
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Sell
Stochastic (5; 3) Neutral Sell Sell
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Buy Buy
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Buy
Aggregate

The common European currency has been depreciating against the New Zealand Dollar since early September, thus forming a falling wedge. 

As apparent on the daily chart, the given pattern is a part of a medium-term ascending channel when the rate reversed to the downside after failing to reach the upper channel boundary circa 1.70. Given the characteristics of a fallen wedge, the pair should break out to the upside—a move that might even happen later this week. 

In the short-term, however, the Euro is expected to appreciate until the upper wedge boundary which is reinforced by the 55– and 100-hour SMAs and the weekly PP circa 1.6450. This level should be examined carefully to determine if the rate is strong enough to surpass it. In case of a breakout, the rate might fail to accelerate and therefore trade sideways.

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