EUR/CHF 4h Chart: Triangle

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The common European currency does not fluctuate much in large scale against the Swiss Franc, as the economies of the underlying countries are too much tied together. However, on the four hour timeframe a symmetrical triangle can be observed. The hypothesis of a breakout to the downside is assumed, as the currency exchange rate recently failed to break the resistance put up by the 50.00% Fibonacci retracement level at the 1.0912 level. The historically relevant retracement levels for this pair are measured by connecting the 2016 low and high levels. It is most likely that the currency exchange rate will break out and reach for the combined support of the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.0844 and the 200-period SMA, which is located at the 1.0848 level.



  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 1.0980/81 Weekly R2; 61.80% Fibo     MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Buy Buy
R3 1.0941 Weekly R1     RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
R2 1.0917/24 Trend line; 100-period SMA; monthly R1     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
R1 1.0909/13 55-period SMA; weekly PP; 50.00% Fibo     ADX (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
S1 1.0887 Trend line     CCI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
S2 1.0871 Weekly S1     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 1.0848/41 200-period SMA; 38.20% Fibo; weekly S2     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Buy Buy
S4 1.0802 Weekly S3     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Sell Buy
          Aggregate

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