EUR/JPY remains on the back foot

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"If these green shoots continue to expand or progress, then our thesis that the market can rally despite the yen being flat and maybe even appreciating could actually materialize and surprise people." 
— Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities Co. Ltd. (based on Bloomberg) 


Pair's Outlook 
There were no surprises in the EUR/JPY pair's performance on Tuesday, being that the exchange rate still managed to stabilise between the 55 and the 100-day SMA, despite initially experiencing strong upside volatility. Today Yen's safe-haven status is allowing the Japanese currency to outperform the Euro again, with the monthly pivot point getting violated. As a result, trade could close below the 120.00 major level, which might eventually lead to a retest of the 200-day SMA circa 117.60. Meanwhile, technical indicators keep contradicting with the forecast, as they keep giving bullish signals for the third day in a row. 

Traders' Sentiment 
Bulls and bears broke out of the equilibrium today, as 55% of traders currently hold long positions. The portion of orders to acquire the European single currency edged higher over the day, from 60 to 63%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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