AUD/USD struggles to pierce 0.75

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"There is a keen sense in the market that we are just one tweet away from another tumble. Thus even if we are correct, and the A$ is cheap, gains will be strongly capped by US$0.7450/0.75."  
– Westpac (based on The Business Times) 


Pair's Outlook 

The Aussie's positive development yesterday somewhat caused the ascending channel's resistance line to be breached, but the 100 and the 200-day SMAs managed to contain the rally. The AUD/USD currency pair open within the channel's borders again today, with the upper trend-line still being reinforced by the mentioned SMAs, meaning it will be difficult for the pair to post more gains, despite technical indicators retaining bullish signals. We should not rule out the possibility of bears taking up, as that would imply the preservation of the channel pattern. A retest of the 0.7420-0.74 area is required to reconfirm the support line of the channel. 

Traders' Sentiment 

Market sentiment remains bearish, with 54% of all open positions being short, whereas 65% of all pending orders are to sell the Aussie.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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