USD/JPY struggles to recover from Friday's slump

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"Dollar-yen is rebounding after being sold off too aggressively. But if upcoming data strengthens the scenario where a rate increase next month isn't possible, dollar-yen could break 100 this week." 
- Gaitame.com Research Institute Ltd. (based on Bloomberg) 


Pair's Outlook 
The USD/JPY currency pair plunged on Friday for the two main reasons: the BoJ failing to deliver and the a lot weaker-than-expected US GDP figures. As a result, the pair reached a bottom of 102.00, erasing all gains for the previous three weeks. Downside risks persist, with the nearest significant area to limit the losses located only around 100.50, formed by the 50.0% Fibo, the weekly S1 and the Bollinger band, which prevented the pair from falling deeper down in the beginning of July. However, a correction is the base case scenario, but with gains most likely limited by the 103.00 mark, also reinforced by the weekly and the monthly PPs. 

Traders' Sentiment 
Bulls remain in control, taking up 58% of the market (previously 57%). Meanwhile, the share of sell orders increased from 31 to 59%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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