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"Position squaring ahead of the U.S. employment report on Friday also supported the Canadian dollar against the greenback."
- TD Securities (based on Reuters)
Pair's Outlook
Slowly but steadily USD/CAD is making progress towards a major resistance area at 1.3370/10, where the 100 and 200-day SMAs are joined by the weekly R2 and monthly R1. This supply zone is further reinforced by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of this year's down-move from 1.46 to 1.25. We are therefore currently bullish on the pair, but only for the next few weeks. Once the price touches upon the 1.3370/10, the short-term bias will be changed to a strongly bearish outlook.
Traders' Sentiment
In the meantime, positioning in the SWFX market shows indecision among the traders—49% of them are bulls and 51% are bears. Similarly, the difference between the numbers of buy and sell orders is also insignificant, only eight percentage points.
© Dukascopy Bank SA