AUD/USD attempts to retake 0.78

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"It is quite amazing how oil prices have recovered from Monday's lows. That is shoring up risk appetite and pushing up commodity-linked currencies. As long as oil remains above $43 a barrel we think commodity currencies will remain supported."
- Nordea (based on CNBC) 

Pair's Outlook 
Not only did the Aussie erase the bearish gap yesterday, but also pierced the seven-month resistance trend-line. Even though technical indicators are now giving mixed signals, we expect the AUD/USD currency pair to retain its bullish momentum and continue edging higher. The RBA minutes provided impetus for upside movement, but gains might still be limited around 0.7790, where the Bollinger band coincides with the weekly R1, providing relatively strong resistance. In case supply at this point fails, the Australian Dollar might then reach the second target around 0.7875, represented by the weekly R2 and the monthly R1. 

Traders' Sentiment 
Market sentiment remains bullish, but at 59% (previously 73%). Buy orders are now outnumbering the sell ones by only 2% points.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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