USD/CAD set for a rally from 1.3250

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"If there is an uncertain world, if China is slowing aggressively, then you have a situation where the Fed may well reconsider raising interest rates."
- Bank of New York Mellon (based on Reuters)


Pair's Outlook

There are plenty of reasons to be bullish USD/CAD right now. First of all, the pair seems to be forming an upward channel with the lower trend-line at 1.3250 and the upper trend-line at 1.3550. Secondly, most of the indicators in the weekly and monthly charts are giving ‘buy' signals. Accordingly, we expect the US Dollar to rebound in the nearest future and surpass the 2004 Q3 high at 1.3380 before the rate starts a bearish correction.

Traders' Sentiment

There are relatively more bearish positions in the SWFX market (73%) than last week (71%). In the meantime, the gap of 20 percentage points between the buy and sell orders was wiped out during the weekend.

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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