NZD/USD targets Aug 2010

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"We think [Yellen's] comments will be more ambiguous, emphasizing data dependence and possibly a nod to a hike happening this year, but not a particular meeting." 
- RBC Capital Markets (based on MarketWatch)


Pair's Outlook 
As the Kiwi slumped for the third consecutive day last Friday, the Bollinger band prevented the NZD/USD from edging lower again. Furthermore, the 0.70 major level was easily breached and the pair even tested the August 2010 low at 0.6948. Today the NZ Dollar is likely to decline beyond the mentioned low and stabilise around 0.6940, namely between the lower Bollinger band and the Aug 2010 low. At the same time, technical indicators are showing mixed signals, unable to confirm or refute the outcome.  

Traders' Sentiment 
The gap between bulls and bears narrowed, as 47% of all positions are now long (previously 44%). Meanwhile, the number of orders to acquire the Kiwi increased from 34 to 43%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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