NZD/USD hesitates in front of the neck-line

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"On a weekly chart, 77 cents has been a very important support point over the past two years and the kiwi is again bouncing off the level. New Zealand's dollar has broken the resistance line starting from the July high and is trying to form an irregular double bottom at about 77."
- IG Markets (based on Bloomberg)


Pair's Outlook

For now the bulls are not as active as last week—the resistance at 0.7985 (monthly R1) is not letting the Kiwi to advance. However, in order to realise the bullish potential of the emerging double bottom pattern, NZD/USD must close above the Oct high at 0.8030. On the other hand, if the currency pair falls through the monthly PP at 0.7850 and then slides under the monthly S1 at 0.7760, this will be a strong ‘sell' signal.

Traders' Sentiment

The SWFX market participants remain undecided with respect to the New Zealand Dollar, as there are equal amounts of long (48%) and short (52%) positions open. In the meantime, the distribution between the buy and sell orders is 56 and 44%, respectively.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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