Fundamental Analysis

Thu, 20 May 2021 13:16:10 GMT

Fed Meeting Minutes boost USD

On May 19, the US Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee published its April 27-28 meeting's Meeting Minutes. The central bank released only the protocols of the meeting that described what was discussed and how the decisions previously announced were made. Note that the changes in monetary policy are already in effect. However, sometimes the Meeting Minutes reveal that the monetary

Fri, 14 May 2021 12:42:58 GMT

US Retail Sales cause volatility

On Friday, at 12:30 GMT, the US Retail Sales and US Core Retail Sales data were published. The US Retail Sales came in at 0.0% instead of the market forecast 1.0%. The US Core Retail Sales were at -0.8% instead of 0.5%. The data caused volatility in the value of the US Dollar. For example, the EUR/USD fluctuated in a

Thu, 13 May 2021 14:12:36 GMT

17.05.-21.05. Event Historical Reactions

During the week, notable events are set to start on Wednesday. On that day, the UK and Canadian Consumer Price Indices are set to be released. In addition, expect a reaction to the US Crude Oil Inventories. Above all, the US Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting Minutes are set to be published on that day. Another day to watch data releases on

Wed, 12 May 2021 12:52:12 GMT

USD surges due to CPI

On Wednesday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics published the monthly Consumer Price Index and Core Consumer Price Index numbers. Both numbers came in higher than the market forecast. Namely, CPI was 0.8% instead of 0.2% and Core CPI was at 0.9% instead of 0.3%. The EUR/USD reacted to the news by dropping 50 base points or 0.41%. However, in

Wed, 12 May 2021 06:17:38 GMT

GBP reacts to GDP data

On Wednesday, at 06:00 GMT, the UK Preliminary GDP data was released. The results came in at -1.5% instead of the market forecast -1.6%. Due to this reason, the value of the British Pound adjusted to the upside. On the GBP/USD this resulted in a 13 base point move up.

Fri, 07 May 2021 13:12:03 GMT

USD/CAD increases volatility

At 12:30 GMT on Friday, the USD/CAD currency exchange rate increased volatility to 40 pips during a period of ten minutes. The move was caused by US and Canadian monthly employment data. In general, the first move down was caused by a sell off of the USD that was caused worse than forecast employment data. Afterwards, an immediate recovery was

Fri, 07 May 2021 12:51:18 GMT

US Employment data beats down USD

On Friday, at 12:30 GMT, the release of US Employment data sets caused a surge of the EUR/USD of 71 base points. In addition, an all-out decline of the US Dollar was taking place. The drop was attributed to the Non-Farm Employment Change being at 266K instead of the market forecast 990K. In addition, previous month's data was revised downwards

Thu, 06 May 2021 13:21:07 GMT

10.05.-14.05. Event Historical Reactions

Notable events are set to start on Wednesday. On Wednesday, at 06:00 GMT a minor reaction could happen on all GBP assets, as the UK Preliminary GDP is scheduled to be published. On the same day, at 12:30 GMT the US Consumer Price Index and US Core Consumer Price Index are set to be published. Later on, at 14:30 GMT, the

Thu, 06 May 2021 11:54:13 GMT

Bank of England moves GBP

On May 6, the Bank of England published its Monetary Policy Summary and minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting ending on 5 May 2021. The bank revealed that it would keep its Asset Purchase Facility unchanged at 895 billion GBP and the Official Bank Rate would remain unchanged at 0.10. Quoting the statement's key points: "The Bank of England's

Wed, 05 May 2021 11:22:50 GMT

05.05.-07.05.Event Historical Reactions

On Thursday, all British Pound traded assets and currency pairs are expected to move due to the announcement of the Bank of England Official Cash Rate and the Monetary Policy Summary. On Friday, Canada and the US are set to publish their monthly employment data at 12:30 GMT. This event could cause notable moves on all USD and CAD pairs. The moves

Wed, 05 May 2021 10:31:58 GMT

RBA policy remains unchanged

On May 4, the Reserve Bank of Australia made a rate statement. The event caused a minor move upwards, as the bank essentially revealed that it would not change its monetary policy. Quoting the statement's key points: "The global economy is continuing to recover from the pandemic and the outlook is for strong growth this year and next. The recovery remains

Thu, 29 Apr 2021 09:45:00 GMT

US Dollar falls on FOMC Statement

On April 28, the Federal Reserve (Fed) issued FOMC Statement. As the result, the US Dollar lost 61 pips against the European Common Currency. The Fed voted to keep the Federal Funds Rate unchanged at <0.25%. Also, the US policymakers are now expecting the inflation rate to increase noticeably above 2%. Quoting the reports key points:"The COVID-19 pandemic is causing

Tue, 27 Apr 2021 09:33:22 GMT

BoJ expects weak inflation

On April 27, the Bank of Japan released its rate statement. However, it did not cause any significant moves. The USD/JPY currency pair lost only 4 pips on the 10M time-frame chart. Afterwards, the pair continued to appreciate. According to the report, no considerable changes in monetary policy were made. The Japanese policymakers decided to keep the Policy Rate unchanged.

Thu, 22 Apr 2021 17:26:31 GMT

26.04.-30.04. Event Historical Reactions

In total, during the week, seven data sets at six various times are suggested to be watched by Dukascopy Analytics. Among them, the top one is expected to be the US Federal Reserve's Foreign Open Market Committee's Statement. The week's events are set to start on Wednesday. At 12:30 GMT the Canadian Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales are expected to

Thu, 22 Apr 2021 12:15:26 GMT

ECB policy remains unchanged

On April 22, the European Central Bank published its Monetary Policy Statement. In general, the event caused no initial reaction in the market. It occurred due to the rate keeping their policy unchanged. In addition, it was no surprise due to the fact that the ECB recently increased their monetary stimulus policy. Quoting the reports key points: "The interest rate on

Wed, 21 Apr 2021 15:32:34 GMT

BoC causes 150 pip move

On April 21, the Bank of Canada made a rate statement, which created a long unseen move. During the first half an hour after the statement, the USD/CAD had already dropped by almost 150 pips due to the strengthening of the Canadian Dollar. The move occurred due to the bank announcing that it expects inflation to return to the

Thu, 15 Apr 2021 17:06:39 GMT

19.04.-23.04. Event Historical Reactions

There are two central banks set to make announcements during the week. Namely, the Bank of Canada on Wednesday, at 14:00 GMT is bound to create CAD moves. Afterwards, on Thursday, the European Central Bank is set to make a policy statement at 11:45 GMT. In addition, to the central banks, we have possible moves from the UK and Canadian CPI

Wed, 14 Apr 2021 16:18:40 GMT

RBNZ causes NZD surge

On April 14, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand made a rate announcement and published its Rate Statement. In general, the central bank kept their monetary stimulus policy unchanged. Due to that reason, it can be assumed that the NZD is unlikely going to lose its value against most of other currencies. Quoting the main points of the released statement:

Thu, 08 Apr 2021 16:36:48 GMT

12.04.-16.04. Event Historical Reactions

During the week, various data releases could cause an impact on the US Dollar. In addition, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is set to make a rate statement that is bound to impact the NZD. On Tuesday, at 12:30 GMT the US Consumer Price Index and Core Consumer Price Index are set to be published. On Wednesday, the mentioned RBNZ

Wed, 07 Apr 2021 18:22:11 GMT

FOMC Meeting Minutes

On April 7, the US Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee published the meeting minutes of its joint videoconference together with the Fed's Board of Governors. However, it did not occur together with a Monetary Policy Statement and a Rate announcement. Namely, the Meeting Minutes are from the previous monetary statement that was done in mid-March. Due to that reason,

Tue, 06 Apr 2021 13:40:29 GMT

US Employment data causes volatility

On Friday, at 13:30 GMT, the US Bureau of Labour Statistics published the monthly US employment data sets. Namely, the US Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change and the Unemployment Rate. The data was mixed. The Unemployment Rate hit the market forecast of 6.0%. The Non-Farm Employment Change was at 916,000 new jobs instead of the expected 652,000. This caused

Tue, 06 Apr 2021 13:03:23 GMT

RBA Monetary Policy Statement

On April 6, the policy of the Reserve Bank of Australia remained unchanged. "At its meeting today, the Board decided to maintain the current policy settings, including the targets of 10 basis points for the cash rate and the yield on the 3-year Australian Government bond, as well as the parameters of the Term Funding Facility and the government

Thu, 01 Apr 2021 14:22:28 GMT

05.04.-09.04. Event historical Reactions

In total there are only five notable times when to watch the economic calendar. However, most of the events are unlikely going to create sudden moves on the charts. On Monday, at 15:00 GMT minor USD moves could be created by the publication of the US ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Indice. Early on Tuesday, the top event of the week is set

Tue, 30 Mar 2021 14:37:11 GMT

March Central Bank Update

During the month, central bank rates and policies remained almost unchanged. The ECB was the only one to increase its quantitative easing efforts. It signals that the EUR should decline. Meanwhile, some managers of the central banks made announcements, which hinted at possible future changes. Australia On March 2, the policy of the bank remained unchanged. "The Board of the Reserve

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