EUR/USD respects resistance zone

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On Monday morning, the EUR/USD made an attempt to pass the resistance zone of 1.1665/1.1670. The rate failed at its attempt and declined to the combined technical support of the 55 and 100-hour simple moving averages at 1.1640.

Economic Calendar Analysis



On Wednesday, at 12:30 GMT, the US Durable Goods Orders and Core Durable Goods Orders change data will be published. The rate has moved only 4.8 to 11.1 pips due to the release since May.

On Thursday, the European Central Bank will publish the Eurozone's Main Refinancing Rate at 11:45 GMT. Note that a press conference will be held at 12:30 GMT by the management of the central bank.

The publication of the rate itself has caused moves from 7.2 to 28.6 base points since March. However, note that most volatility occurs during the question part of the press conference.

At 12:30 GMT, on Thursday, the US Advance GDP is expected to impact the value of the US Dollar. In addition, the US Unemployment Claims could also slightly impact the USD. The GDP has moved the EUR/USD from 7.9 to 13.6 pips, and the Claims from 7.6 to 13.5 base points.

On Friday, at 08:00 GMT, the German Preliminary GDP is expected to cause volatility in the value of the Euro. The EUR/USD has moved from 4.9 to 14.1 pips on the release.

Click on the link below to find out more about the data releases of this and other currency exchange rates.

EUR/USD hourly chart's review

In the case of a surge, the pair would once again test the resistance of the 1.1665/1.1670 zone. A passing of the resistance zone might reach for the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 1.1687.

On the other hand, a decline below the 55 and 100-hour SMAs at 1.1640, could look for support in the weekly simple pivot point at 1.1630. Below the pivot point, the last week's low level zone and the 200-hour SMA might act as support.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, EUR/USD has recovered after booking a new low level. The recovery could encounter resistance in the 1.1700 mark, which might be strengthened by the 55-day simple moving average and a 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level.

Daily chart




Sentiment is neutral

On Friday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange trader open positions were neutral, as 51% of open position volume was in long positions.

On Monday, the situation slightly changed, as 51% of volume was short.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the pair were 59% to sell the Euro against the USD.

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