EUR/JPY trades lower before French election

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Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


"It is kind of reminiscent of the big events last year where people know that it is a binary outcome so the best approach is to remain as cautious as possible." 
- Simon Derrick, Bank of New York Mellon (based on Reuters) 


Pair's Outlook 
[ANNOUNCE]Not being able to overcome the resistance cluster formed by the weekly R1 and the monthly S1 circa 117.22, EUR/JPY tumbled during the first hours of today's trading session. [/ANNOUNCE]This move has erased a major part of its Thursday gains. The closest support located at 116.21 may give the Euro enough room for a free fall. Nevertheless, it is unlikely that this level is reached today. It is expected that the pair may close slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. In a less likely scenario, the downside volatility may reduce in strength, setting the pair for a close above this level. The market remains cautious in anticipation of the first presidential election round in France this Sunday. 

Traders' Sentiment 
Today's market sentiment is bullish, as 61% of open positions are long. In addition, 60% of set up orders are to buy the Euro.

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