- 52% of all SWFX open positions are long
- 58% of pending commands were to buy the metal
- The bullion opened at 1,215.93
- Upcoming Events: US CPI; US Core CPI; US Capacity Utilization Rate; US Industrial Production; FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks; Fed Chair Yellen Speaks
Manufacturing activity in the State of New York dropped more than expected in January, results of the latest The Empire State Manufacturing Survey showed on Tuesday. The New York Federal Reserve reported factory activity across the region fell to 6.5 points from December's 9.0 points, while market analysts anticipated a slight decrease to 8.1 in January. However, any reading above the 0 point-level points to expansion in the manufacturing sector. The General Business Conditions Index declined slightly to 6.5 from 7.6 registered in December, remaining in the expansionary territory for the third straight month.
Meanwhile, the New Orders Index dropped to 3.1, following the preceding month's 10.1 points, whereas the Shipments Index remained unchanged at 7.3, pointing to robust shipment growth. In addition, the Delivery Time Index and the Unfilled Orders Index advanced to -2.5 and -1.7 in January, respectively. The Inventories Index jumped 16 points to 2.5, indicating the first increase in inventory level since the middle of 2015. The Future Business Conditions Index held steady at 49.7 in January, after rising sharply in in the wake of Trump's victory in the US presidential election. The Prices Paid Index surged 14 points to 36.1, reaching its highest level since 2014 and pointing to increasing inflation.
Upcoming fundamental releases: A busy day for fundamentals
During Wednesday's trading session there will be a lot of fundamental events taking place that will affect the financial markets. US CPI and Core CPI will be published at 13:30 GMT. Afterwards, at 14:15 GMT the US Capacity Utilization Rate and US Industrial Production data will be released. In addition, it is the second day of the World Economic Forum. Moreover, important speeches are scheduled for today. At 16:00 GMT FOMC Member Kashkari is set to give a speech, and at 20:00 GMT chairwoman of the Federal Reserve, Janet Yellen is set to give a speech.
Gold falls after reaching resistance
Daily chart: After reaching the high level of 1,219, where a combined resistance by the monthly R2 and 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level is enforced, the yellow metal retreated on Wednesday morning. In the first quarter of the day the bullion also fell below the closes support level at 1,212.87. That means that the metal might fall next to the medium term ascending channel's lower trend line at 1,203.40. In addition, if that support level is passed, the next notable level of significance below gold will be at 1,191.73.Daily chart
Hourly chart: The hourly chart reveals that the weekly R1 is actually holding its line as a support level. However, it does get penetrated a lot, as the metal has fallen below the exact level of support at 1,212.87 three times in the past 24 hours. If the level of significance holds, it is possible that the metal will trade rather flat instead of falling.
Hourly chart
Traders gradually reduce bullishness
OANDA Gold traders have decreased their largely optimistic outlook on the yellow metal, as open positions were 71% bullish on Wednesday, compared to 72% previously. Meanwhile, traders of SAXO bank also remain long, regarding the yellow metal, as 62.84% of open positions are bullish.