GBP/USD Technical Outlook

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

FX pair has recovered from the recent lows towards 1.34460 price level.

Economic Calendar


Continuation of low overall volatility  should be considered as a primary scenario for the ongoing trading week.

GBP/USD hourly chart analysis

GBP/USD features a tight consolidation grid, with the pair stabilizing at 1.34455 as it hovers directly over its critical horizontal pivot floor at 1.34318. This solid baseline has absorbing every bearish probe since the start of June, confirming a reliable structural floor that keeps the short-term recovery bias intact. Maintaining price action above this 1.34318 junction leaves the door open for an upward expansion toward the immediate range ceiling marked by the dashed resistance line at 1.35065



Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily chart analysis

The technical landscape for GBP/USD highlights an intense volatility compression as price coils tightly within a narrow structural corridor, pinned directly between dynamic resistance at the flattening 30-period Simple Moving Average and immediate horizontal support at 1.34318. This tightening price action reflects a transition from a directional trend into a clear distribution phase, where the market is balancing just above the 1.34318 pivot baseline. A decisive daily breakout and close above the SMA 30 would shift immediate momentum back to the bulls, targeting a retest of the psychological 1.35000 mark and the historical mid-May volatility ceiling at 1.36560. Conversely, a clean break below the 1.34318 floor confirms that supply has overwhelmed the consolidation, opening a clear path for bears to drive price downward into the next major structural value area at 1.32650.




Daily chart


Traders are bullish
Retail traders maintain a distinct bullish bias on GBP/USD with long positions accounting for 63.25% of total volume. This leaves short positions sitting at 36.75%, reflecting a positive net directional imbalance of +26.50% favoring the buyers.



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