Gold outlook

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Higher volatility moved gold up during first part of the week, before moving over 9% to the downside and closing close to 4860.00.

Economic Calendar Analysis


Moderate volatility may continue throughout this trading week.

XAU/USD short-term forecast



XAU/USD is in a corrective phase following a parabolic rally that peaked near record highs on January 29, followed by a sharp pullback. The current price is around 4763.18. While the long-term bullish trend remains supported by central bank demand and geopolitical risks, the short-term trend has shifted bearish. The hourly chart shows lower highs and lows, though there is a potential for a minor rebound. Key resistance levels are near recent highs and a critical psychological level, while support lies around key short-term inflection points. The MACD histogram shows diminishing bearish pressure, suggesting a possible rally ahead.

Hourly Chart

XAU/USD daily charts review

Gold hit an all-time high, before a sharp drop the following day, with the current price around 4763. The long-term trend remains bullish, but short-term action has entered a corrective phase, triggered by profit-taking and a hawkish Fed outlook.Resistance is near the recent highs, while support is around the 50-day moving average and a key lower level. The RSI has cooled from overbought levels, signaling less upward momentum but not yet oversold.If Gold fails to hold support, further downside could occur, but a close above the recent resistance would suggest a potential retest of the highs.


Daily Candle Chart


Traders going long

As of February 2, 2026, XAU/USD sentiment remain bullish due to central bank demand, while short-term retail sentiment is heavily long following a historic reversal from record highs.

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