USD/JPY Outlook

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Higher volatility closed previous weeks trading session in USD/JPY, closing below 155.550.

Economic Calendar



Volatility may increase in the FX due to upcoming snap election in Japan, which currently increases uncertainty.



USD/JPY hourly chart analysis

USD/JPY is in strong bearish momentum on the hourly chart, dropping from 158.00 to 153.67 with lower highs and lows. The price is well below the 50-, 100-, and 200-hour SMAs, and the RSI at 17 indicates extreme oversold conditions. Immediate resistance is 154.59, support is at 151.65, and if selling continues, the pair could test 147.40.

Hourly Chart

USD/JPY daily candle chart analysis

USD/JPY has sharply dropped on the daily chart, breaking below the 50-day SMA and testing key support around 153.665. The 100-day SMA now serves as the next support level, while the 200-day SMA near 149.65 suggests the long-term uptrend remains intact. If the pair holds above 153.665 and rebounds, a short-term recovery toward 155.50–156.00 is possible, though medium-term momentum remains bearish.

Daily chart


Traders sentiment

Most traders are short on USD/JPY, with 66.53% holding bearish positions, signaling a strong market expectation of further declines.  

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