EUR/USD outlook

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

EUR/USD saw strong move to the upside, closing 1.8270.


Economic Calendar Analysis


Moderate levels of volatility may be observed, if no deviation in Fed interest rate decision.

EUR/USD hourly chart analysis

EUR/USD on the 1-hour chart is bullish, trading at 1.1854 after a strong breakout from 1.1650–1.1725 and a brief cooling off near 1.1900. Immediate resistance is 1.1900, with a break potentially targeting 1.2000. Support is at 1.1850, then 1.1770 (50 SMA), and major support at 1.1725. Holding above 1.1850 suggests continuation of the uptrend, while a drop below may trigger a pullback before the next move higher.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

EUR/USD has broken above the key resistance level at 1.1830, signaling a shift from a prolonged sideways range into a strong bullish trend. Currently trading around 1.1855, the pair has gained momentum after a sharp multi-day rally, supported by rising 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages, which confirm the long-term uptrend. Immediate resistance is at 1.1920, with a potential extension toward the psychological 1.2000 level if the bullish momentum continues. Key support now sits at 1.1830, and as long as the price remains above the 50-day SMA near 1.1675, the medium-term outlook remains positive, with a possible minor retest of support before further gains.



Daily chart




Traders are going long






Market sentiment suggests more traders expect the USD to strengthen relative to the EUR in the short term.

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