GBP/USD outlook

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
FX saw moderate volatility levels, closing close to 1.34000.

Economic Calendar


Continuing previous week trend, moderate volatility levels may be anticipated may be expected due to upcoming data releases from United States and United Kingdom.

GBP/USD hourly chart analysis

GBP USD shows a bullish recovery following a period of consolidation. After bottoming near the 1.3410 support level on January 10th, the pair has climbed to its current price of 1.34547, recently crossing above the 50-period SMA green. This suggests short-term momentum is shifting upward; however, the price is currently testing immediate dynamic resistance at the 100-period SMA orange. A successful breakout above this cluster and the 200-period SMA red at 1.34692 would confirm a trend reversal toward the 1.3520 range.

Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily candle chart analysis

GBP/USD on the daily chart is showing a neutral to mildly bullish structure. Price has recovered from the November low and is now consolidating just below recent highs, indicating a pause rather than a reversal.The 50-day moving average is rising near 1.3300 and continues to act as near-term support. The 100-day moving average around 1.3360 is acting as a pivot area, with price repeatedly testing it but struggling to establish strong acceptance above it.

Resistance is clearly defined in the 1.3520–1.3550 zone, where previous rallies have stalled. A stronger, longer-term resistance level sits near 1.3790. On the downside, initial support is around 1.3360, followed by the 1.3300 area. A deeper pullback could expose the psychological 1.3000 level. Recent candles show smaller bodies and overlapping ranges, which reflects consolidation and indecision. If price achieves a daily close above 1.3550, bullish momentum could extend toward 1.37 and 1.38. Conversely, a daily close below 1.3300 would weaken the structure and increase the risk of a move toward 1.31 or 1.30.

Daily chart


Traders are short
The sentiment for GBP/USD shows that only about 26% of traders are long, while a strong 74% are short, indicating a predominantly bearish trader positioning. This suggests many traders expect the pair to weaken in the near term, despite any short-term rallies.




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