USD/JPY outlook

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
USD/JPY saw slight move to the downside, closing below 155.300.

Economic Calendar



Higher levels of Volatility may follow after Fed intrest rate decision.



USD/JPY hourly chart analysis

Recovering from the 155.00 support, USD/JPY shows bullish momentum, but the rally is currently capped by the 200 SMA, near 157.00. A confirmed breakout above this dynamic resistance targets 157.63, while a rejection could force a retest of support at 156.26. With the RSI near 60 still showing room for upside, the key trigger for traders is a decisive hourly close above the 200 SMA barrier to confirm the trend continuation.

Hourly Chart

USD/JPY daily candle chart analysis

USD/JPY pair is exhibiting a robust long-term bullish trend, evidenced by the price trading well above all major Moving Averages, with the 50 SMA blue line at 153.59 serving as the primary medium-term support while the 100 green and 200 red SMAs trail significantly lower at 150.67 and 148.15 respectively. The market is currently in a consolidation phase, testing a critical resistance zone marked by the dashed red line at 157.10, and a decisive daily close above this ceiling would likely signal a continuation of the rally toward the 158.00 handle and potentially the psychological 160.00 mark. Conversely, should the price fail to break this resistance, a mean-reversion pullback toward the structural support at 153.56 aligning with the 50 SMA is a plausible scenario that traders might view as a buying opportunity within the broader uptrend, but as long as the price sustains above these key averages, the dominant momentum remains bullish.

Daily chart


Traders sentiment mixed







Continuing previous trend, USD/JPY has no clear directional bias because it has been locked in a long-term sideways range on the daily chart, although directional momentum in the near term may provide way in the near term.


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