GBP/USD outllook

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

GBP/USD moved to the upside in previous week, closing above 1.32279.

Economic Calendar


Volatility may persist throughout the week, considering fundamental data releases from this week.

GBP/USD hourly chart analysis

Pound is currently sliding downwards after hitting a "ceiling" at the 1.3270 level. It has dropped below the red and green average lines, which signals that the immediate energy has drained out of the market and sellers are briefly in control. The most critical spot on the chart right now is the "safety net" waiting just below at 1.3165. This is where the long-term blue line sits, and it acts as a major floor for the price. If the price can bounce off this blue line, the overall upward trend is still safe and could recover. However, if the price crashes through this floor, it would signal a much bigger drop is coming, likely pushing the value down toward 1.3100.

Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily candle chart analysis

The GBP/USD is in a downtrend, currently trading at 1.3195, below the key 200-day SMA. Momentum is negative, with the 50-day SMA sharply approaching the 200-day line, risking a "Death Cross," which often signals further long-term declines.The pair faces strong resistance between 1.3268 and 1.3315, where any upward moves are likely to encounter selling pressure. Support holds near the psychological 1.3000 level after November's drop, but the current price action is mainly consolidative. Unless buyers push the price above 1.3315, the trend is likely to remain downward.

Daily chart


Traders are long
Current retail positioning shows a slight bullish bias, with 53.12% of traders long and 46.88% short, resulting in a net bias of +6.24% long.




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