Gold bounces back up

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On Tuesday, the yellow metal's price reached the resistance of the 200-hour simple moving average and the previous September low level zone at 1,781.00/1,783.00.

Economic Calendar Analysis



On Wednesday, the top event of all macroeconomic events will occur. The US Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee is going to publish their Economic Projections, Statement and the Federal Funds Rate.

On Thursday, Markit Institute will publish their Purchasing Managers Indexes. The indexes are a result of survey of manufacturing and services sector managers about their outlook on their respective fields.

Also on Wednesday, at 12:30 GMT, the weekly US Unemployment Claims could cause minor increases of volatility. However, for example, the range for the EUR/USD moves during the release has been from 5.4 to 11.1 base points. On average, the EUR/USD moves less than 10 points on its own, during no event environment.

The week's notable events will end with the US Markit PMI release. Namely, the US Flash Manufacturing and Services PMIs at 13:45 GMT are highly likely to cause USD moves.

Click on the link below to find out more about the data releases of this and other currency exchange rates.

XAU/USD short-term forecast

In the case that the price passes the resistance of the 200-hour SMA and the 1,781.00/1,783.00 zone, the bullion could aim at the 1,800.00 mark. On the other hand, a potential bounce off from the resistance zone might find support in the 100 and 55-hour simple moving averages at 1,767.00 and 1,760.00.

Hourly Chart

XAU/USD daily charts review

On the daily candle chart, the drop of the yellow metal can be more clearly observed. Meanwhile, note that the bullion has been in a decline since the start of September, when it bounced off the summer high zone at 1,830.00.

Daily Candle Chart


Traders are long

On Tuesday, the sentiment on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was 63% bullish, as 63% of open position volume was in long positions.

Meanwhile, in the 1000-pip range around the metal's price pending trade orders were 53% to buy the precious metal.

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