EUR/USD extends recovery

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On Thursday morning, the EUR/USD pierced the resistance of the 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages near the 1.1840 level.

Economic Calendar Analysis



On Friday, the release of the US Retail Sales data at 12:30 GMT could cause an increase of volatility.

EUR/USD hourly chart's review

In the case that the rate surges, the pair would reach the resistance of the weekly simple pivot point at 1.1852. A failure of the pivot point could result in a test of the resistance zone just below the 1.1880 mark.

On the other hand, a potential decline could look for support first in the 55-hour SMA near 1.1820. Afterwards, the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 1.1810 might provide support.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, on Wednesday, a channel down pattern was spotted and added to the chart. However, already on Thursday, the rate appeared to be testing and piercing the upper trend line of the pattern.

A potential move above the trend line would have no technical resistance as high as the 1.2000 level, where a 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level is located together with the 100 and 200-day simple moving averages.

Daily chart




Long sentiment decreases

On Thursday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange traders open positions were long, as 60% of open position volume was in long positions.

On Wednesday, the open position volume changed and was 63% long.

On Thursday, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the pair were 60% to sell the pair and 40% to buy the EUR/USD.

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