EUR/TRY 1H Chart: Patterns point to decline

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Buy Buy
RSI (14) Neutral Sell Sell
Stochastic (5; 3) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Buy Buy
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Buy Buy
Aggregate

The common European currency has been strengthening against the Turkish Lira for a long period of time. This upside movement gained strength considerably early in May which resulted in a 18.40% surge during these three weeks. 

After reaching the 5.75 mark earlier this week, the pair plunged 5% in one hour on May 23 and thus fell down to the upper boundary of the breached one-year channel at 5.32. The Euro has since recovered but has nevertheless failed to reach its previous many-year high of 5.75. 

It is likely that bulls exhaust their strong upside momentum within the following sessions and initiate a new decline. A near-term target is the breached channel line, the 200-hour SMA and the monthly R2 at 5.35/30. Subsequently, the pair could edge even lower down to 5.20.

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