EUR/PLN 1H Chart: Surge in medium term expected

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Buy Sell
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3) Sell Sell Sell
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Buy Sell
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Buy Buy
Aggregate

Following a rebound from a 2,5-year low of 4.1330 mid-February, the EUR/PLN exchange began moving higher in an ascending channel. This junior pattern proved to be strong enough to allow for a breakout of the dominant five-month channel last week (dashed lines). 

Technical indicators suggest that some upside potential still exists in the market. It could be capped near 4.21 where the upper boundary of a medium-term channel, the monthly and weekly R1s and the 38.20% Fibo retracement are located. Given this significant resistance area, it is likely that the Euro corrects southwards and falls down to the 55– and 100-hour SMAs and the weekly PP circa 4.19. 

If looking at the pair's movement during the two following weeks, the medium-term channel could surrender under the bullish pressure, thus paving the way for a surge in the medium term.

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