GBP/USD 4H Chart: Channel Down

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
Since the last week of December, the Cable has been trading within a narrow but at the same time solid channel. Being that the studies are either bearish or mixed and the Sterling is overbought (63% of positions are long), there are no reasons to expect a reversal but one—the price is at the 2010 low. However, the initial reaction after the test of the historically important level was shallow, meaning demand near 1.4230 is unlikely to be enough to stop the sell-off, and the near-term rallies should be capped by the monthly S2 and the falling trend-line at 1.4390/70. Below 1.4230, the currency pair should aim for support at 1.4050, followed by the 2009 low at 1.35 dollars.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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