EUR/AUD 4H Chart: Triangle

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
There seem to be more arguments to be bullish the Euro rather than the Aussie. One of the main reasons is a triangle, namely a continuation pattern, that has emerged after a rally. An additional argument is that the currency pair has recently broken through the 200-period SMA, implying that the single currency is set for long-term appreciation. If the price closes above 1.5174, potential obstacles will be at 1.5257/34 and at 1.5344/14, but over the next several weeks we may expect a recovery up to 1.5850. In the meantime, the SWFX market participants do not appear to be convinced by any of the arguments, being that 47% of them are currently long and 53% are short.
© Dukascopy Bank SA
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