USD/THB 1H Chart: Two scenarios likely

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Indicator4H1D1W
MACD(12;26;9)SellBuyBuy
RSI(14)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Stochastic(5;3;3)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Alligator(13;8;5)SellNeutralBuy
SAR(0.02;0.2)SellBuySell
Aggregate

The USD/THB exchange rate has been trading downwards within a falling wedge pattern since the beginning of April.  

From a theoretical perspective, it is likely that a breakout north from the given pattern could occur within the following trading sessions. In this case the currency pair could re-test the psychological level at 33.20.  

On the other hand, note that the exchange rate is pressured by the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs in the 32.50 area. Thus, the rate could breach the given pattern south in the nearest future. Note that the rate could gain support from the Fibo 38.20% and 50.00%, located at 32.07 and 31.63 respectively.

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