XAG/USD 1H Chart: Bears likely to prevail

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Indicator4H1D1W
MACD(12;26;9)SellBuyBuy
RSI(14)BuyNeutralNeutral
Stochastic(5;3;3)BuyNeutralNeutral
Alligator(13;8;5)SellBuyBuy
SAR(0.02;0.2)SellSellBuy
Aggregate

Last week, the XAG/USD exchange rate tried to breach the long-term ascending channel north. As apparent on the chart, the rate reversed south from the upper channel line at 16.60.  

From a theoretical point of view, it is expected, that some downside potential could prevail in the market, as the rate should target the lower channel line located in the 14.50/15 range. Important support levels to look out for are Fibonacci 50.00% and 38.20% retracements, located at 15.60 and 15.21 respectively. 

Note, that the rate is supported by the Fibonacci 61.80% retracement at 15.99. If the given support level holds, it is likely, that the rate could reverse north in the nearest future to re-test the upper channel line. It is unlikely, that a breakout north occurs due to the resistance of the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs, located circa 16.40.

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