EUR/HKD 1H Chart: Falling wedge pattern in sight

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Indicator4H1D1W
MACD(12;26;9)SellSellSell
RSI(14)BuyNeutralNeutral
Stochastic(5;3;3)NeutralBuyBuy
Alligator(13;8;5)SellSellSell
SAR(0.02;0.2)SellSellSell
Aggregate

The Euro has been appreciating against the Honk Kong Dollar since the end of June. This movement has been bounded in the falling wedge pattern.  

Currently, the EUR/HKD exchange rate is testing the lower pattern line located at 8.6930. From a theoretical point of view, it is expected, that a reversal north should occur in the nearest future, as the rate should target the upper wedge line located in the 8.7600/8.7800 range.  

However, note, that the currency pair is pressured by the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs, currently located in the 8.7120/8.7608 range. Thus. If the given pattern does not hold, it is likely, that the pair could target the lower boundary of the long-term descending channel located circa 8.6500.

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