ZAR/JPY 1H Chart: Rising wedge in sight

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Buy Sell
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Buy Sell
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Buy Buy
Aggregate

The ZAR/JPY currency pair breached a long-term descending channel north at the beginning of November. The South African Rand has been depreciating against the Japanese Yen since the end of August. This movement has been bounded in a rising wedge.  

Currently the exchange rate is testing the resistance level formed by the Fibonacci 50.00% retracement at 8.23. Given that the pair is being supported by the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs, it is expected that the pair target the upper wedge line located circa 8.40 in the nearest future. 

If given wedge holds, it is likely that a reversal south occurs within the following trading sessions.

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