EUR/HUF 1H Chart: Slight downside potential

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Buy
RSI (14) Buy Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3) Buy Buy Neutral
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Sell Buy
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Buy
Aggregate

The Hungarian Forint has been appreciating against the Euro after the currency pair reversed from the upper boundary of a medium-term descending channel at 328.42. This movement has been bounded in a short-term ascending channel.  

Given that technical indicators still remain bearish in the short run, it is likely that a breakout from the junior channel occurs during the following days. A possible target is the Fibonacci 50.00% retracement at 320.26. This decline, however, should be short-lived, as the pair is located near the oversold territory.  

By the large, it is expected that the exchange rate continues its decline until the bottom of the senior-channel line is reached in the 315.00/317.00 area.

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