XAU/USD tries to cross 61.8% Fibo

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Positions Today Yesterday % Change
Longs 53% 54% -1.89%
Shorts 47% 46% 2.13%
Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Buy
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Sell Buy
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Buy Buy
Aggregate

Despite release of negative data about the American housing market growth, the exchange rate continued to move to the bottom, in the process crossing a combination of the weekly S1 and the lower support line of senior ascending channel.  

At the moment, the pair is testing the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1,278.98. It seems that pressure from the slipping 55-, 100- and 200-hour SMAs should eventually push the pair through that barrier. Afterwards, the pair would face no obstacles on its way up until the weekly S2 at 1,265.92. 

On the other hand, daily chart clearly indicates that an area near 1,276.34 represents location of the 100-day SMA. From this perspective, it seems that the pair is going to make a temporary rebound. In addition to that, there is a need to remember that the average sentiment remains 65% bullish.

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