XAU/USD surges on the eve of Yellen speech

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Positions Today Yesterday % Change
Longs 50% 48% 4.00%
Shorts 50% 52% -4.00%
Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Buy
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Neutral Sell
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Sell Buy
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Sell Buy
Aggregate

Because of the speech that is expected to be delivered by the Fed Chair Janet Yellen at a banking conference in St. Louis, the gold traders not only managed to pull the pair from the weekly S1 lying at the 1,266.63 level but also to push it from a junior descending channel.  

At the moment, the only barrier that it faces on its way is the 100-hour SMA, which is located slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Whether the pair will succeed to break through this resistance as well will heavily depend on release on information on the US employment data and of course the subsequent Yellen's speech. 

Nevertheless, none of these events are likely to change to the general picture, according to which the rate is expected to reach the lower support line of a dominant ascending channel and only then make a rebound.

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