XAU/USD breaks long-term channel up

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Positions Today Yesterday % Change
Longs 45% 44% 2.22%
Shorts 55% 56% -1.82%
Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Buy Buy
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Neutral Sell Sell
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Buy Buy
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Buy
Aggregate

Even though information released about the US Core Retail Sales appeared to be worse than analysts expected, the pair did not manage to stay in a long term-ascending channel. It seems that the breakout was triggered by a combined pressure from the 55- and 100-hour SMAs. 

It should be noted that such outcome was in line with a daily chart, which suggested that the rate was going to continue to plunge at least until the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1,278.96. 

Accordingly, today the pair is likely to continue to move to the bottom, trying to reach the updated weekly S1 at 1,310.77. A recovery of the yellow metal is not expected to follow, as the northern side is reliably secured not only by the above 55- and 100-hour SMAs, but also by the updated weekly PP at 1,325.63 as well as the upper boundary of a new junior channel down.

Actual Topics

Subscribe to "Fundamental Analysis" feed

Subscribe
To learn more about Dukascopy Bank CFD / Forex trading platform, SWFX and other trading related information,
please call us or make callback request.
For further information regarding potential cooperation,
please call us or make callback request.
To learn more about Dukascopy Bank Binary Options / Forex trading platform, SWFX and other trading related information,
please call us or make callback request.
To learn more about Dukascopy Bank CFD / Forex trading platform, SWFX and other trading related information,
please call us or make callback request.
To learn more about Crypto Trading / CFD / Forex trading platform, SWFX and other trading related information,
please call us or make callback request.
To learn more about Business Introducer and other trading related information,
please call us or make callback request.
For further information regarding potential cooperation,
please call us or make callback request.