AUD/USD unlikely to fall under 55-day SMA

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The outlook has improved further and barring an unexpected break below 0.7640, AUD is expected to grind higher towards 0.7695/00." 
— UOB Group (based on FXStreet) 


Pair's Outlook 
Upbeat US fundamental data on Thursday allowed the American Dollar to take the upper hand and outperform the Aussie. As a result, the Australian currency erased most of Wednesday's gains, as the nearest support area was completely ignored. Nevertheless, technical studies are still giving bullish signals, but another leg down of approximately 40 pips is also possible. A bearish development could cause the rising wedge's support line to be put to the test again, but the 20 and the 55-day SMAs are required to be pierced first. At the moment the pair lacks the pressure to breach the SMAs, thus, the base case scenario remains in favour of a rally. 

Traders' Sentiment 
There are 72% of traders holding short positions today (previously 71%), while 59% of all pending orders are to acquire the Aussie.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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