EUR/USD hesitant ahead of 1.14

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"It will not be easy for the dollar to enter an uptrend again without evidence of rising wages, and focus is already turning to next Friday's jobs data."
- IG Securities (based on Reuters)


Pair's Outlook

Despite immediate resistance at 1.1368, represented by the weekly PP, there is still some room left for the Euro to appreciate in the short term. The gains, however, should be capped at 1.14, where supply is implied by the multi-week trend-line. Meanwhile, 1.13 is the key support level, which has been keeping the exchange rate afloat since the beginning of February. As suggested by the technical studies, this demand area should eventually give in.

Traders' Sentiment

Just as yesterday, there is still no real difference between the amounts of bulls (49%) and bears (51%) in the SWFX market. On the other hand, there was a notable decline in the percentage of sell orders, and 1.14 may thus not be as strong as initially assumed.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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