USD/CHF remains bearish

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"So far markets have mostly treated [the government shutdown] as a U.S.-centric growth shock from fiscal/confidence effects, rather than as a tail-risk shock to market risk."
- Faros Trading (based on Reuters)


Pair's Outlook

Due to the spot price's proximity to a tough support area around 0.8930 it hesitates to move south. Nonetheless, the daily and weekly studies are strongly bearish, suggesting the downward pressure is likely to persist for now and thus keep the exchange rate below the June low at 0.9128. In the longer term, on the other hand, the bullish sentiment should prevail and drive USD/CHF beyond the September high at 0.9454.

Traders' Sentiment
The current distribution between the long and short positions is exactly the same as last Friday, namely 72% to 28%. This means that the overwhelming majority of traders bet on the Dollar's appreciation relative to the Swiss Franc. Concerning the orders, 69% are to open even more bullish positions.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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