USD/JPY respects 98.43/97.94

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The market is getting nervous about tapering. I expect that to happen in September and the dollar to start rising then. But it is likely to go through some adjustment before that as there's concerns that tapering could spark risk-off trading as it did in May-June."
- Hideki Amikura, Nomura (based on CNBC)

Pair's Outlook

USD/JPY felt the existence of the resistance at 98.43/97.94, but we still see a possibility for continuation of the rally up to the 100-day SMA at 99.13, this level is also reinforced by the monthly pivot point and the falling trend-line. There the currency pair is likely to start sliding downwards, back to the 200-day SMA, which in turn is not expected to be breached.

Traders' Sentiment
Regardless of the currency pair's behaviour, the traders' sentiment towards USD/JPY has been strongly bullish, being that the share of long positions has not fallen below 70%. Right now 74.5% of market participants wait for the U.S. Dollar to increase in worth relative to the Japanese Yen.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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