AUD/USD to confirm break-out

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The overarching message was one that accommodative policy is here to stay."
- Westpac Banking Corp. (based on MarketWatch)

Pair's Outlook
AUD/USD is currently retracing from 0.9299/61 towards the former resistance at 0.9155/29. This zone should keep the pair afloat so that the breach of the channel down pattern (started in April) is confirmed. This will notably increase the chance of a surge up to the 2012 low at 0.9387, even though the monthly pivot point at 0.9348 is also going to be a serious obstacle.

Traders' Sentiment
Although the attitude of market participants has been substantially altered with respect to EUR/JPY, the Australian Dollar secured its title as the most popular currency, 75% of all the positions in the crosses are long on it. Particularly in AUD/USD the portion of longs is a fraction lower, at 71%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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