USD/JPY weak until 99.98/93

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"For now the dollar-yen is very much tied to the stock market- and not just the Nikkei, but global shares. I don't think sentiment is turning risk-off, but people are definitely adjusting positions amidst a risk-on environment."
- Junya Tanase, JPMorgan (based on CNBC)

Pair's Outlook

Even though USD/JPY has already dropped nearly three figures last week, there is still room for U.S. Dollar's depreciation. The bearish wave is expected to be halted at 99.98/93, the lower boundary of the bullish channel the pair has been trading within since the start of this year. There the price should start to recover and in the end surpass the local high at 103.73.

Traders' Sentiment
Despite the growing portion of long positions in the market, bullish sentiments are overwhelming—72% of traders believe the U.S. Dollar is going to outperform the Japanese Yen, which in turn is sold across the board, 75% of positions held in its crosses are short. Meanwhile, buy orders take up 65% of all orders.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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