AUD/USD resumes a down-trend

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"There is a risk the markets get ahead of the Fed. It will be tricky for the Fed to signal it's going to stop buying without signaling that tightening is imminent."
- Barclays Plc (based on Bloomberg)

Pair's Outlook

The rally AUD/USD commenced last week has encountered a strong resistance zone at 1.0343/36, which did not allow for a rise up to the 200-day SMA that in turn is standing near 1.0387 at the moment. Since the bullish correction is unlikely to extend any higher and the near-term studies point to the downside, we may anticipate continuation of the trend started on Jan 23 until 1.0141/12 is reached.

Traders' Sentiment
The difference between the amounts of long (44%) and short (56%) positions has slightly narrowed and the sentiment towards AUD/USD has thus become even less negative. As for the orders, 43% of them are to acquire the Aussie and the rest, 57%, are to sell it against the U.S. Dollar.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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